All this hot air being spewed out about Iran, or the Iran (Nuclear deal) or an Iran invasion is just that “Hot Air”. A purely objective analysis of the facts would reveal that in fact America’s number one foreign policy issue or threat is North Korea not Iran. A simple review of the facts is critically necessary for everyone – especially our idiotic, loud mouth politicians. Here are 7 considerations:
- North Korea has nukes, Iran doesn’t any more. The nuclear deal with Iran, verifiably resulted in all of Iran’s dangerous Nukes being shipped out of the county. But North Korea on the other hand, has nukes. And by the way, is constantly testing their nukes, along with long range missiles being deployed across the Japan Sea. No question about it, North Korea not only has nukes, but could ship it across the Pacific Ocean (if their missile technology works) – and bomb the U.S. (Iran, by the way, even if it had Nukes and missiles, could not reach the U.S. with any weapon of mass destruction). North Korea is far more dangerous.
- Even without Nukes, (but especially with Nukes), North Korea is very close to globally important regions of high economic activity. The North-South border in Korea is only about 20 miles from Seoul (Korea’s capital). Not far way is Japan. And right across the border and the Korean Sea are regions of high economic activity in china (places like Qing Dao, Shanghai etc.) North Korea could really do a lot of damage very fast – with or without Nukes. Iran on the other hand, could threaten much of the middle east, but less than 10 percent of U.S. oil comes from that region; and with a flick of a switch, the U.S. could produce all that oil domestically. The middle east is vitally critical to China, India, Europe – but not the U.S.
- In order for the U.S. (or anyone) to take on North Korea (i.e. invade etc.), the U.S. will need “China’s” blessing. So far, China has kept North Korea’s back. In order to invade Iran, the U.S. could do another “Iraq” and go it alone. Iran has no major, global power house committed to its defense. War with North Korea, would by implication, result in war with China. North Korea knows this, and is therefore very provocative. They can, and in fact have fired missiles over Japan! Iran, on the other hand, has generally taken on a more defensive posture. North Korea is therefore a direct threat.
- North Korea actually has a strategic relationship with the Mullahs in Iran. Senior Iranian military personnel are on record confirming this. North Korea has been an arms supplier to Iran for decades, and was a key supplier in the ‘80s during the Iran-Iraq war. But most interestingly, now that Iran doesn’t have its own Nukes, it is relying on North Korea to supply them in the event of need. Shut down North Korea, and you’ve shut down a secondary threat from Iran. And by the way, Iran is NOT North Korea’s only military partner. And, by the way, much of North Korea’s foreign exchange capacity is driven by arms sales to nefarious groups around the world. Shut down North Korea and you’ve made many opponents of the U.S. impotent.
- Not to be forgotten is North Korea’s million man army. It’s probably the largest standing Army in the world – if not a close number 2! It’s a military state. If North Korea did not have an enemy, they would invent one, to perpetuate its military state. One very vital observation about the regime in North Korea is that hostilities with the West have not diminished. Hostility serves the state well, and is part of the preservation of the regime in power. The point is, sooner or later, the Military must be involved in some sort of a war – to retain its status as state in a never-ending state of war. War with North Korea is inevitable. This is not so with Iran, that has historically taken a defensive posture. While Iran has a large army and the draft, defense spending is less than 10% of its budget and one order of magnitude less than its neighbors or the U.S.
- Beyond the basic logic of the situation, it should not be forgotten that logic does not dominate North Korean thinking. Their leadership is insane. Iran on the other hand, has shown sophisticated and sane leadership. As much as the Mullahs are ridiculed, they have consistently demonstrated thoughtful, analytic decision making powers – all be it, to support policies that do not ‘fit in’ with Western priorities.
- And last, but not least, note that the payoff in neutralizing North Kore, is huge. South Korean ‘chaebols’ would march into North Korea and set up shop at a fraction of the cost of production elsewhere or even in China. (I am told North Koreans are very poor). This would embolden Korea, make it a larger economy, a larger market for the U.S., but also provide a regional counterweight to a resurging China – that is flexing its muscle in some areas of the Pacific. Korean companies could undercut Chinese exporters in mass markets by using cheap North Korean labor to make goods. And this would be good for the U.S. and the rest of the world, and put the Chinese on the defensive.
I think North Korea is both a challenge and an opportunity for any incoming U.S. administration. Despite the political rhetoric and money being spent by Saudis in shifting U.S. policy and priorities to kill off their enemies: the Iranians, Americans should not be fooled, North Korea is more important. Even if Iran is the ultimate prize, North Korea comes first. Don’t be fooled or manipulated.